Morning coffee: Serena an underdog for US Open second-round match

We are in the second round of the US Open.

After seeing a pair of top-10 seeds fall in the first round to Simona Halep and Stefanos Tsitsipas, we won’t be taking anything for granted backing the betting favorites on day three of the tournament.

Felix Auger-Aliassime is at -275 to beat Jack Draper in the second round.

Rebecca Marino has -210 to beat Daria Snigur.

At the same time, all eyes will be on the most notable underdog on FanDuel’s chart tonight.

When I wrote my Tuesday column, Serena Williams had +172 to advance to the third round at FanDuel.

Since this morning, this number has increased to +205 at FanDuel.

This number implies just a 32.8% chance of Serena continuing her run at the US Open tonight.

Will Serena be able to beat the odds again and advance to the third round?

Here is the Morning Coffee for Wednesday August 31, 2022.

Serena an underdog against Kontaveit

Before the tournament started, I wrote about finding an opportunity to knock Williams out of the US Open.

I explained how anyone who did just that on the road to Flushing Meadows was able to capitalize on some quality numbers betting against Williams, including getting Emma Raducanu to -152 money line against Williams at the Cincinnati Masters.

I also wrote that despite the price temptation, I was not going to bet against Williams in the first round.

Despite some notable shortcomings, Williams persevered and recorded a 6-3, 6-3 win over Danka Kovinic.

Now she will face a much tougher test in the second round of the US Open, which brings us to an intriguing decision.

Anett Kontaveit picked up a 6-3, 6-0 win over Jaqueline Cristian in the first round.

Kontaveit is +3600 to claim the US Open title at FanDuel, slightly higher on the board than Williams at +4000.

In other words, having taken care of business against inferior competition in the first round, it will be a much tougher challenge for Williams and a potential opportunity to wipe her out.

Unfortunately, if you haven’t already, you won’t like the price change we’ve seen at FanDuel.

In just over 24 hours, Kontaveit went from -205 to -255 to beat Williams tonight.

Although I would like to bet Kontaveit to win the match, I don’t want to do it at this number, which left me looking for another option.

I found one that I like.

I bet Kontaveit will win tonight’s match in straight sets at +105.

Williams hasn’t gone three sets in a match since losing to Harmony Tan at Wimbledon.

She hasn’t won a set in her two previous losses, including to Belinda Bencic in Toronto and Emma Raducanu in Cincinnati.

I won’t say that Williams doesn’t have the potential to win this match, or at least push it to three sets.

However, Monday’s first-round match and the celebration that followed Serena’s win really felt like a special moment, and I don’t know how much Williams will have left as she returns to the court less than 48 hours later. late.

With Kontaveit to win in straight sets at +105, I have a bet on how I think the match will play out with more money in my pocket, with a chance to react to whatever happens tonight with a bet the match live at FanDuel.

Best bets for Wednesday’s MLB slate

It’s been a strange start to the week for yours truly when it comes to my best FanDuel bets.

First Monday, I bet the Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 with Tony Gonsolin as the expected starter against the Miami Marlins.

Gonsolin was scratched, I cashed in the bet and found myself on the St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 and Milwaukee Brewers -1.5.

Both of these games won, but I didn’t tweet them before the game started, which disappointed me a bit.

Then on Tuesday I gave the Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 against the Miami Marlins with Shane McClanahan as the scheduled starter.

For the second day in a row, the starting pitcher I bet on was ruled out and didn’t pitch.

Unlike Monday, I didn’t get a chance to cash before the first pitch, so I was lucky the Rays got a 7-2 win without their ace.

Unfortunately for you, Max Fried ran into trouble against the Colorado Rockies and the Atlanta Braves lost a 2-0 lead in a 3-2 loss.

If you keep track at home, the Rockies have recorded wins over Max Scherzer and Fried over the past three days.

After a 1-2 start to the week, I will need Kontaveit to deliver against Williams to get back to .500.

That’s not my only recommendation for Wednesday.

After dropping me on Tuesday, I’m going straight back to Atlanta -1.5 against the Rockies tonight.

The Braves were one of the hottest teams in baseball before losing back-to-back games to close their weekend streak against the St. Louis Cardinals, and they should be fired up heading into tonight’s game after losing some three in a row.

Atlanta is just three games behind the New York Mets for first place in the National League East.

Kyle Wright is 16-5 with a 2.99 ERA this season, and Atlanta has won each of its last three starts against the Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Wright allowed just three earned runs in 19 innings during that span.

As the Rockies look to Ryan Feltner and his 5.87 ERA tonight, it’s an opportunity for the Braves to bounce back big.

I’ll make Atlanta -1.5 -144 my best FanDuel bet for Wednesday.

In the meantime, there’s another obvious mismatch I’m aiming for for Wednesday’s MLB slate.

The St. Louis Cardinals are 13-4 since Aug. 14.

They’ve covered the running line in 10 of their 13 wins over that span.

Coming off a 5-1 loss to the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday, the Cardinals will look to avoid losing back-to-back games for the first time since July 26 in the rubber game in Cincinnati tonight.

Mike Minor is 3-10 with a 6.10 ERA this season.

He is 0-7 with a 6.37 ERA in eight home starts.

The Cardinals have had their way with the left-handed throw all season, so as long as Jose Quintana does what he was acquired to do on the mound, St. Louis should bounce back with a victory by two or more runs tonight.

I will lock in Cardinals -1.5 -142 as the best FanDuel bet.

Finally, the Los Angeles Dodgers hold the best record in the majors at 90-38.

They are a +132 underdog for tonight’s game against the New York Mets.

Jacob deGrom will be starting for New York, so I understand why they are a home favorite.

However, the Mets have only won three of his first five starts, scoring two runs or less in three of those five games.

LA will counter with Tyler Anderson, who is 13-2 with a 2.69 ERA this season.

The Dodgers have won nine of Anderson’s last 10 starts since June.

It’s not often that we get the best baseball team as an underdog at FanDuel.

I’ll be playing the Dodgers at +132 on the money line as one of my best FanDuel bets for Wednesday.

About Glenda Wait

Check Also

PETA wants Starbucks to sell more oat milk lattes — Quartz

Animal welfare group PETA wants Starbucks to stop charging customers extra for dairy-free milk in …